Friday, June 14, 2024

Detailed Story of the Russian Disassembly - Amuria

Detailed Story of the Russian Disassembly


As described in the Part 1 of the Russian Disassembly Trilogy, the disintegration of the Russian Federation will happen in several phases. Although the boundaries of these phases are somewhat vague, they will still appear in order when each distinct phase will serve as a trigger for the next phase:

1. The first phase between 2023-2026 when Russia loses a part of its far east colonies and small nation-states of Caucasus and Altai mountains. 
2. The second phase between 2024-2027 when Russia loses a part of its resource rich Siberian and Volga-Ural provinces and another piece of Caucasus lands. 
3. The third phase between 2026-2033 when Russia loses all its colonies beyond the Ural mountains and more nation-states in the Volga-Ural, Caspian, and Caucasus regions. 
4. The final phase between 2028-2040 when Russia loses almost all territories east of the Volga river and south of the Don river as well as a part of former Velykyi Novgorod provinces on the west. 

The First Disassembly of Russia - Caucasus and Far East 

The first stage of the Russian disassembly will happen as soon as the Civil War starts between 2023-2026 and will be led by the clearly separatist regions on the Russian periphery which are already waiting for the Russian period of weakness.


Although Russia is called the prison of nations, the first region to part with Russia and accelerate the further disassembly is, ironically, populated primarily by russians - the far-east Khabarovsk Krai. This region is known as the least controlled region of Russia, and is constantly protesting against the Putin's regime even during recent years when other regions were mercilessly "pacified". Moreover, even the Khabarovsk Krai governor was assigned by local elites, not personally Vladimir Putin - something unimaginable for the russian autocracy. Thus, as soon as the Russian Civil War starts on the european part of Russia, the far east will seek for the ways to escape. The Khabarovsk Krai elites are known to be strong in covert ops and palace intrigues. Thus, there would be no surprise if they will side with the local branch of FSB (Federal Security Service, an internal intelligency agency of the Russian Federation) and the Navy commandment of the Russian Pacific Fleet which headquartered in the city of Vladivostok. As this region is already more tied economically to China and Japan than it is to Russia, regional elites might seek political support from these states as well. After these preparations (which might be ongoing while I write this), as soon as the Russian Civil War starts, these elites will declare the independence of the far east region of Russia.

Most probably, it will be a joint declaration by the economically tied Khabarovsk Krai, Primorsky Krai, Amur Oblast, Sakhalin Oblast (including Kuril Islands), and Jewish Autonomous Oblast. A new name of this state is hard to guess, but Amuria seems just nice to me. The capital will most probably be moved from Khabarovsk (which is the home to many local businesses and the regional bureaucracy of the richest and the biggest of these provinces) to a more distant from the Chine border and safer small city Amursk. With land area of over 1'440'000 sq km and population of over 4'500'000 citizens (over 85% - Russians), sparsely populated Amuria will enter the top 20 largest states in the world, comparable to Mongolia or Peru by size, but much smaller Mauritania or Panama by population.

Russia might decide to invade the new state in order to prevent its independence, however, if the russian Pacific Fleet (headquartered in Vladivostok) is seized during the first days of the independence, any land-based campaign would be extremely difficult to undertake by the russians. Potentially, Russia would be able to occupy the mineral-rich northern regions of the Khabarovsk Krai, but no more than that. The control over the Pacific Fleet would allow Amuria to protect its sovereignty over the Kuril Islands. The return of the southern Kuril Islands - Kunashir, Shikotan (and smaller Habomai Islands), but maybe also Iturup and Urup - to Japan would allow Amuria to sign the historic peace treaty with Japan or even secure the economic and defence treaty with Japan. Similarly, Amuria might return several distutable islands on the Amur river to China in exchange for its political protection and economic ties.

At a later time Amuria might compete for the regions of Magadan Oblast, Kamchatka Krai, and Chukotka Autonomous Okrug; but most probably their residents would not agree to join Amuria. Also, the world powers would not be interested in such turnaround; therefore this outcome is less probable. See the section below about Yakutia (Sakha) for the more detailed explanation.

Properly balancing between the top political, military, and economic neighbouring powerhouses - USA, Japan, and China - Amuria has all the chances to become more prosperous alone than under the rule of russian kleptocracy. A fact that the majority of Amuria residents are and will remain russian-speaking will not stop their independence, as it will be driven primarily by the economic factors. Despite Amuria citizens seeming unified by one language (a far-east dialect of Russian), ethnically more than third of its population are ethnically rusified Ukrainians, Manchurians, Koreans, and Ainu - ethnicities with the strong liberty gene; no more than one third are pure Russian colonists. Thus, within 2 decades this young nation of multi-ethnic origin have all chances to become the east eurasian forthpost of democracy, at the same stage in its evolution like Ukraine is today. Source

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Sunday, June 9, 2024

Imminent Disintegration Of Russia

Imminent disintegration of Russia


Entering the pointless and cruel war against Ukraine, Putin's regime routinely approaches the point of no return when he as a politic and living being, but also Russia as a state, head towards the eclipse. It is no wonder: the history knows many examples of huge empires which ceased to exist during historically short periods of time. Vladimir Putin likes to talk about the so-called historical justice; but he constantly forgets to mention that the historically justified territory of so-called Russia is at most a small chunk of land called Moscowia; all the rest being temporary occupied territories, as shown on the cover image.

This essey analyses the historic parallels in the Russian past that provides clues to the understanding that Russia gallops into its final days which are now counted. It is a huge free of charge personal work based on many open sources and structured logical deduction. Unlike the majority of my posts, it is almost free of proof links; it is up to the reader to find the truth.

Due to the high volume of material this essey is split into 3 parts together forming the Russian Disassembly Trilogy:

Part 1 (here): Putin is leading Russia to its collapse, describing the reasons and factors leading to the collapse of the nowadays Russian Empire.
Part 2 (this): Imminent disintegration of Russia, outlining the details about each breakout state emerging from the Russian Empire.
Part 3 (TBD): Life after Russia, analysing the changes in the global balance of power during and after the imminent disintegration of Russian Empire.
Over some time I promise to do several concise extracts from this essey for those lazy souls who have no time to read it in full at once.


In the following TL;DR paragraphs each phase of the russian disassembly will be discussed in more details. This short extract just summarizes the final result.

When the process of the Russian disassembly finishes, what is left off the once the biggest empire on the globe will be just a small part of its past glory. Yet, it will remain one of the biggest countries in the world by land area. Russia will lose almost all its colonies esat of the Volga river and south of the Don river shrinking to the size slightly bigger than its XV century predecessor the Moscowian Tsardom.

New top 20 of biggest world countries by size

This table shows how will the list of top 20 biggest states in the world look like after the disassembly of the Russian Federation, capturing the state name and capital, along with their land area in square kilometers, total population, and population density in people per square kilometer. New states emerging from the Russian Federation are marked with an asterisk. All numbers are rounded to two digits.

Basic stats of new states emerging from Russia

This table shows all new states emerging from the disassembly of the Russian Federation, along with their capital city, land area in square kilometers, total state population, as well as the dominant ethnicity and religion (blank if no ethnicity or religion has more than 51% of total population).

Rad Trads Join The Emperor Of The North/Mystic Anti-Christ's Army & The Forerunner To The Antichrist's Army

What comes first after Pope Francis dies and the Thirty Five Years Of Chastisements starts:

1. During the 35 years worth of Chastisements the Rad Trads move en-masse to St. Petersburg where Putin sets up his Empire. Rad Trads become members in Army of the Emperor of the North the Mystic Anti-Christ.

2. Rad Trads in the Mystic Anti-Christ's Army make raids below the 59th parallel to rape, pillage and plunder European towns and cities. Bringing back women and booty to supply their frozen wasteland.

3. After the Emperor of the North the Mystic Anti-Christ. (Putin) is destroyed beaten and abolished by the Great Monarch the Rad Trads join the Army of the Forerunner to the Antichrist.

This makes sense.

The Rad Trads get to join both Armies - the Emperor of the North/Mystic Anti-Christ and the  Forerunner to the Antichrist.

Putin To Surrender And Move His Empire North Of 59th Parallel To Become The Emperor Of The North.......

1. Putin Surrenders In The Urkraine 
2. Putin Moves His Empire North Of The 59th Parallel - The Northern Union
3. Putin Becomes Emperor Of The North - The Northern Union
4. Putin Concedes The Rest Of Russia Below The 59th Parallel To The West.
5. The Seat Of Putin's Empire Will Be In St. Petersburg.
6. Putin Will Be The Emperor Of The North - The Mystic Antichrist 
7. Putin The Emperor Of The North - The Mystic Antichrist Will Eventually Be Defeated By The Great Monarch

 Emperor of the North, who is called Mystic Anti-Christ.

Prophecy Of The Emperor Of The North By A Capuchin Friar (1776):

"All the ecclesiastics, both secular and regular, shall be stripped of all their possessions, and of every kind of property, and obliged to beg from lay persons their food and everything necessary for their support, and for the worship of God. All religious orders will be abolished, except one having the rules of the most rigid and most severe institute of the ancient monks. During these calamities the Pope shall die. Through the death of the Supreme Pontiff the Church will be reduced to the most painful anarchy, because from three hostile powers three popes will be contemporaneously elected: one Italian, another German, the third Greek, by force of arms, shall be placed on the throne. During this time much human blood shall be shed in Italy, and many cities, country towns, and castles shall be brought to ruin, with the death of many thousands of persons.

"By the Catholic clergy and people the true and lawful Pope will be elected, who shall be a man of great holiness and goodness of life, selected from the surviving monastic order mentioned above.

"A scion of the Carlovingian race, by all considered extinct, will come to Rome to behold and admire the clemency of this Pontiff, who will crown him, and declare him to be the legitimate Emperor of the Romans, and from the Chair of St. Peter, the Pope will lift up the standard, the crucifix, and will give it to the new emperor.

"This new emperor, with the robust Italian and French people, and with those of other nations, will form a most Powerful host, called the Church Army, through which he shall destroy the Ottoman Empire, all heresies, and shall also totally defeat the Emperor of the North, who is called Mystic Anti-Christ.

"The above mentioned new emperor, with the assistance of God and of the Pope, will cooperate to the reformation of abuses; will assume (with the free consent of the Pope) the management of the temporal government; will assign a decent pension to the Supreme Pontiff, and also the bishops and clergy: and they all, being detached from earthly covetousness, will live in peace, which shall last till the end of time.

"Finally, the Pope will select twelve subjects of his religion, whom he will send through the world to preach missions. They shall have the power of converting the nations to the faith of our Lord Jesus Christ, excepting the Hebrews, who are reserved for the end of the world." Capuchin Friar (1776)

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